Title: New York & Company F4Q 2010 Earnings Call Transcript
Symbol: NWY
Call Start: 16:30
Call End:
New York & Company, Inc. (NWY)
F4Q10 (Qtr End 1/29/2011) Earnings Call
March 17, 2011 4:30 pm ET
Executives
Greg Scott—Chief Executive Officer
Sheamus Toal—Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Suzanne Rosenberg—Director, Investor Relations
Analysts
Eric Beder—Brean Murray Carret & Co.
Janet Kloppenburg—JJK Research
Edward Yruma—KeyBanc Capital Markets
Christine Chen—Needham & Company
Pamela Quintiliano—Oppenheimer
Neely Tamminga—Piper Jaffray
Samantha Panella—Raymond James
Robin Murchison—SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Presentation
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you very much for standing by and welcome to the New York & Company fourth quarter and fiscal year 2010 results call. Today’s call is being recorded. (Operator instructions) Now at this time I would like to turn things over to Miss Suzanne Rosenberg, Director of Investor Relations at New York & Company. Please go ahead, ma’am.
Suzanne Rosenberg
Good afternoon. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that some of the comments made on today’s call, either as part of our prepared remarks or in response to your questions, may contain forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provision in the Private Securities and Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ from those projected in such forward-looking statements.
Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties as described in the company’s documents filed with the SEC, including the company’s fiscal year 2009 Form 10-K. Unless otherwise noted, the results of operations discussed are for the company’s continuing operations only as a New York & Company brand. With that, I’d like to turn the call over to New York & Company’s CEO, Greg Scott.
Greg Scott
Thank you, Suzanne. Good afternoon, everybody. Thank you for joining us to discuss the company’s fourth quarter and fiscal year 2010 results. On the call with me today is Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Sheamus Toal. For today’s call, I will provide some highlights of our fourth quarter results. Then I will outline our priorities as we enter 2011, and how we are continuing to build on our total strategy for New York & Company. Sheamus will then review our financial performance in more detail and provide you with our near-term financial outlook. Following my closing comments, we’ll turn the call over to the operator to take your questions.
Our fourth quarter results reflect a strong focus on controlling inventory and improving our margins. We were successful in driving both sales and merchandise margin from last year through an improved product assortment, strong in-store promotional events, and targeted direct marketing efforts. This, combined with leverage of our buying and occupancy costs, resulted in a significant improvement in our fourth quarter operating profit versus last year. Inventories were well controlled as we entered the fourth quarter and this certainly helped our margin.
As we outlined in our last conference call, we remain focused on tight inventory control, with less depth on major key items. During the fourth quarter, this discipline allowed us to mitigate our markdown risk and control the level of promotional activity. Importantly, our customers continue to find great values in our store. But it did not come at the expense of margin. As we enter the spring season and throughout 2011, we’ll continue to employ a disciplined approach to inventory management, which will help margin and at the same time allow us to expand our assortment in certain key categories, particularly tops and dresses.
In terms of merchandise during the fourth quarter, our customers responded positively to the novelty elements of our assortment, particularly in cardigans, woven tops and knit tops. We also saw particular strength in our jewelry business and strong product acceptance by our customers to our winter wear gift set. Testing continued to play an important role in the success during the fourth quarter, which allowed us to fund investments for stronger selling styles and led to increased sales and margins. We will continue to place a strong emphasis on testing for all major (sets) and key items, as evidenced by our early spring deliveries which build on key categories including modern wear-to-work (inaudible).
During the holiday season, we began adjusting our floor set (inaudible) to bring in new merchandise more frequently to excite our customers and encourage multiple shopping visits. This began with our update to holiday during the first week of December. While the early parts of January were driven by sales in clearance goods, we transitioned to our new early spring floor sector in the second week of January, and we are pleased with the strong product acceptance of our new goods. Customers are responding positively to a better flow of fresh merchandise which is enabling us to turn inventory faster, enhance margin and improve cash flow.
Our improved fourth quarter results were also driven by a more effective marketing program, which included a strong mix of in-store promotions, and targeted direct marketing efforts. We continue to shift from direct mail to a more targeted e-mail which generated higher AURs, slightly higher UPTs, and higher ADS versus last year, while reducing our expenditures to reach these customers and provide us with the flexibility to quickly respond to the current business environment.
As it relates to other channels of our business, our e-commerce business posted strong increases in the fourth quarter, with sales up 23.9% (inaudible) to our stores, e-commerce benefited from the increased load of new merchandise to the site. We were also pleased with the performance of our e-mail campaign and the new power out promotions which are high impact, limited deals which help drive traffic and conversion.
We continue to be encouraged by the early performance of our outlet stores from sales and margin perspective. During the quarter, we opened one additional location in this format and ended the year with 24 outlet stores in total.
As we enter 2011, we are focused on bringing consistency back to our business not only to our financial objective but to the planning and execution of our strategic initiatives which will drive our results and position New York & Company for sustained future growth.
2011 is a transition year for our company for several reasons. First, we’re rationalizing our promotional cadence. New York & Company is and will remain a promotional brand. However, we’ll be more targeted with our events. For example, our business will be less driven by major storewide promotions and become more product category driven. By rationalizing our promotional calendar, our goal is to lower our markdown level and improve our profitability over the longer term. In 2011, we’ll also begin to leverage the new members of our executive management team. And lastly, we are refocusing on our customer with improved product proposition. With that said, we are pleased with our positioning as we enter the year. Our strategies are generating their intended results and we expect to demonstrate continued progress as we focus on our key priorities.
In fiscal 2011, we are faced with the headwinds of rising raw material costs, labor, fuel, transportation and other inflationary pressures, as are all apparel companies. While we are implementing a series of strategies to help offset some of this impact, our greater opportunity this year is to increase merchandise margin as we deliver stronger selling product assortment and reduce markdown.
We are excited about our opportunities in 2011 and we remain focused on achieving modest comp store sales gains, improving our merchandise margin particularly in the first half of the year, a reduction in markdown and cash generation and preservation.
To achieve our objectives, we are focused on the flawless execution of our strategic initiatives. First, we are focused on increasing our sales productivity and increasing our merchandise margin with improved regular price selling. A key ingredient to achieving this objective is to know who the customer is. After much research and time spent in our stores and with our customers, I can say with confidence that we know who she is. This is validated by the strong product acceptance we are seeing with our current early spring assortment. Going forward, we will need to bring more customers into our brand but today we clearly know who she is and what she wants.
Sales productivity and margin improvement will also come from tight inventory control with less depth on major key items. While key items will continue to be an important part of our business, we’ll expand our assortments in categories such as tops, sweaters, and dresses. This will give our customers more of a choice when she comes to our stores.
We’ll also remain on track with our strategy of growing our top business while maintaining our strength in the important pant category.
In pants, pants testing practices will further drive improvements to sales and margins as we bring more intelligence into our analysis and deliver strong, on-trend fashion that our customers love. We’ve already begun implementing these strategies with our early spring assortment and I encourage each of you to visit our stores to see the changes that are taking place. As I mentioned earlier, the shift in our floor (inaudible) and our promotional calendar will allow us to better optimize our productivity.
Our second strategic initiative for fiscal 2011 is focused on taking advantage of our multi-channel growth opportunities and growing this segment of our business. Today’s consumers have access to more information than ever before, and they have a tremendous amount of choices in their shopping experience, whether it’s from the mobile phone, online or offline in a store. That said, we are very excited about the launch of our mobile-enabled e-commerce site which will happen during the second quarter. A good example of how we are leveraging all facets of our business is in our recently held pant event. This year, our pant event was strategically designed to highlight our great fitting pants and cover all the proportions that we offer. Comprehensive collateral materials were developed and utilized to reach all customer touch points, from store associate training materials, to windows, to in-store, to online, to social outlets such as Facebook with our pant event, this campaign was leveraged across all channels of our business and appropriately tailored to each environment.
Our third strategic initiative is ongoing, and the full benefits will be realized over the longer term, and that is the optimization of our real estate portfolio. As you can see in today’s press release, we closed 43 stores in fiscal 2010. We continue to analyze our store base, and we will close any unproductive locations when appropriate. Additionally, we continue to seek opportunities were we can reduce the size of our largest square footage stores. In terms of future expansion, outlets present a great opportunity to add to other off mall locations such as power centers.
Lastly, in 2011, we have a great opportunity to leverage the top talent we brought into our organization over the past several months, including Eran Cohen, EVP, Chief Marketing Officer, Michele Parsons, EVP, Merchandising, and David Witkewicz, EVP of Design. We are excited about the fresh perspective, insight, and creativity that will come from these leaders and the rest of our executive management team.
With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Sheamus who will review our results in more detail.
Sheamus Toal
Thank you, Greg. Good afternoon everyone. Net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 increased by 1.7% to $303.2 million as compared to $298 million for the prior year. The increase in net sales is primarily driven by a 1.7% increase in comparable store sales for the fourth quarter as compared to a decrease of 7.7% in the prior year. In the comparable store sales days, average dollar sales per transaction increased by 6.4%, while the number of transactions per average store decreased by 4.4% as compared to the same period last year.
Gross profit for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 was $88.3 million or 29.1% of net sales as compared to $79.9 million or 26.8% of net sales in the prior year. The 230 basis point increase in gross profit as a percentage of net sales is due to a 150 basis point decrease in buying and occupancy costs as we have successfully improved our leverage by reducing our occupancy expenses while increasing sales. In addition, we achieved an 80 basis point increase in merchandise margins reflecting lower levels of promotional activity.
Selling, general and administrative expenses were $76 million or 25.1% of net sales for the fourth quarter as compared to $74.6 million or 25.1% of net sales for the prior year. The $1.4 million increase in selling, general and administrative expenses is primarily due to an increase in incentive compensation expenses resulting from improved operating profit and a $1 million charge related to two litigation matters. These increases were partially offset by a decrease in marketing expenses as we reduced our direct mail efforts and replaced it with the more cost effective e-mails.
Net income from continuing operations improved significantly for the fourth quarter with income of $14.9 million, or $0.24 per diluted share which includes an unusual tax benefit of $2.3 million, or $0.04 per diluted share. This compares to income of $2.5 million, or $0.04 per diluted share in the prior year which included a previously disclosed non operating loss of ($0.02) per diluted share relating to restructuring charges.
Moving to our year end balance sheet, inventory at cost was $82.1 million which was down by 5.7%. As of year end, our in-store inventory per average store was down 10% as we have experienced an increase in in-transit inventory. Our balance sheet included $77.4 million in cash and working capital of $42.8 million at January 29th, 2011.
Capital spending for fiscal year 2010 was $15.7 million as compared to $13.3 million last year. During fiscal year 2010, we opened 22 new stores, remodeled 8 stores, and closed 43 stores ending with 555 stores in operation, of which 24 are outlet locations. At year end, we had approximately 3 million selling square feet in operation.
In fiscal 2011, our goal is to generate and preserve cash as we focus on improving our core business. As a result, we do not expect to open additional stores this year. Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2011 are expected to be approximately flat to year ago levels. Regarding our expectations for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, we are providing the following. Comparable store sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2011 are expected to be in the positive low-single digit range with 551 stores in operation at the end of the first quarter as compared to 579 stores in the prior year. Gross profit margins are expected to improve by 100 to 175 basis points versus the prior year’s rates. Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales are expected to be approximately flat from the prior year. Operating loss is expected to narrow from the loss incurred in the year ago period. We expect the effective tax rate for first quarter fiscal year 2011 to be 0% as compared to an effective tax rate of 45.3% in the prior year. Total inventory at the end of the first quarter is expected to be down approximately 10% as compared to the prior year with the inventory per average store declining approximately 5% due to lower store count. Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $4.3 million for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011 as compared to $3.9 million in the prior year. Depreciation expense for the period is estimated at $10.2 million.
The company had no outstanding borrowings under its credit facility and does not anticipate the need to use the facility during the first half of 2011.
We expect to close four stores and remodel two existing locations ending the quarter with 551 stores including 24 outlet stores.
With that, I would like to turn the call over to the operator to begin the question and answer portion of the call.
Question-and-Answer Session
Operator
(Operator Instructions). And we’ll take our first question from Pamela Quintiliano with Oppenheimer.
Pamela Quintiliano – Oppenheimer
Thank you. Congratulations guys on a great quarter.
Greg Scott
Thank you.
Pamela Quintiliano – Oppenheimer
I just wanted to follow up on your thoughts on fabrics, and particularly the large exposure of synthetics, which everyone’s focused on cotton, but clearly synthetics are rising as well, and how you plan on positioning for that or countering it?
Greg Scott
Well, I would say that you are correct as cotton has gone up so has all other fabrics, and we have seen, as all retailers, increases obviously in raw materials. Also we’ve seen it in labor cost and we’ve seen it in transportation, resulting in increased cost. What I would say for us, as I’ve said before, we have the ability, we have a very strong sourcing team. We have made early decisions on the fabrics, especially for the Q2, Q3 period that has helped mitigate it somewhat. I would say though because our assortments have changed dramatically, meaning, we’ve gone from a very basic assortment to a much more novelty (inaudible) assortment. It has allowed us to have some price elasticity on our retail and it has enabled us to really offset some of these increases.
I would say, going back to the script remarks, we’re really focused on merchandise margin and we still see improvement there because of what we believe we have opportunity to reduce our markdowns overall.
Pamela Quintiliano – Oppenheimer
Great. Thanks so much. Best of luck.
Greg Scott
Thank you.
Operator
Moving on, we will take a question from Neely Tamminga from Piper Jaffray.
Neely Tamminga – Piper Jaffray
Hey, good afternoon. Let me add my congratulations.
Greg Scott
Thank you.
Neely Tamminga – Piper Jaffray
Maybe Sheamus if you could talk a little bit, I’ve got a question for you and one for Greg but, in terms of the gross margin outlook, I’m still a little unclear in terms of the increase for Q1. How much of that is merchandise margin versus leverage on occupancy? Did I miss that?
Sheamus Toal
We haven’t disclosed a split between that. We do still anticipate that we will have better leverage on our buying and occupancy expenses so as you may recall from the past what we’ve traditionally had as our leverage point for buying and occupancy expense is comped in the low single digits. We are continuing to push on occupancy reductions through a number of means and believe at this point we can obtain leverage on our buying and occupancy with comps in the flat to down low single-digit range. So that certainly is driving a piece of it. Also, as Greg had mentioned in some of his remarks, we are anticipating some merchandise margin improvement as well, so it’s a little bit of both.
Neely Tamminga – Piper Jaffray
Okay, but it just seems historically considering you were down last year as well that you have an opportunity maybe for some additional merchandise margin improvement through markdown. I mean you’re not anywhere near your historic low markdown rate, correct? For Q1.
Sheamus Toal
For Q1 the markdown rate last year was not all that bad as comparison to our historical averages. It’s really Q2 that I think you’re remembering where we had highly promotional business that was way outside of our norms. So Q1 last year was not all that different. It was a little bit higher, but not dramatically higher than our norm.
Neely Tamminga – Piper Jaffray
Yeah, that’s right. The infamous 9% gross margin. Well we’ll get to that next quarter and we’ll hope for better things there. Greg, just a little bit on the pants side of the business. We were very pleased with what we saw in our own store checks and just wondering how some of the learnings can be carried forward into the all too important back to school selling season and that fall selling season.
Greg Scott
What we did, our pant event we were pleased with it for two reasons. One, that we were able to change the promotion to not buy one get one free but to buy one get one ten which obviously improved our average dollar sale, AUR, and margin. At the same time, we saw really our wear-to-work pants have a very strong success and even with a raised, a more not as aggressive promotion, but I would say and like what I’ve talked about a lot which really drove our success during this event too was the tops along with the pants. So as pants maintained, tops grew, and she’s really responding to really the assortment we’re giving her in tops which is one of the initiatives we called out probably on my first quarter, the first time I spoke on a quarterly conference call. So we’re happy to see that progress which really began in early January and has continued through now.
Neely Tamminga – Piper Jaffray
OK, that’s great. And just one follow-up question. The percentage of the fleet that you are looking for a footprint reduction, is that any sort of meaningful number that we should be starting to think about? Am I asking it in the right way? I just noticed a handful of stores, locally as well as in other regions that we visited, there seems to be an interesting number of stores that are slated for relocations into smaller footprints. Just wondering if that’s a meaningful number this year or next year?
Sheamus Toal
It’s not a meaningful number this year, so I would not say it’s significant. It’s certainly more than it was last year, so we are going to shift a little bit of our capital expenditures from new stores last year, or new outlets last year, into some remodel activity this year. So while capital is about the same, there will be some shift on the real estate capital from new stores into remodels. But it’s not a huge number of remodels that we are expecting for the year.
Greg Scott
And I would say that as we are relocating and downsizing in Staten Island and as we are downsizing in Roosevelt Field, two very strong centers for us, that would be a really great gauge for us to see our ability to maintain the volume in a lower square footage, to really improve our productivity. So I’m very excited to see the results of those two stores. We’re in construction now on both of them. So that would be really good for us as a go-forward strategy.
Neely Tamminga – Piper Jaffray
Awesome. Best of luck you guys.
Greg Scott
Thank you.
Operator
Moving on, we have a question from Samantha Panella with Raymond James.
Samantha Panella – Raymond James
Good afternoon everyone. I have a follow-up on an earlier question. How many stores should we expect will close in 2011?
Sheamus Toal
We haven’t gotten close to discussing the full year expectation at this point. Obviously we’ve given guidance for the first quarter, so we do expect to close approximately four stores during the first quarter of this year. I can give you a sense, based upon some of our previous guidance, some parameters to roll into your models as far as closures as we move forward. As we commented several times and Greg talked about today, we are committed to ongoing analysis of our entire store portfolio. We’ll evaluate the performance of those stores and the economics of each individual store and decide upon closures or downsizes as appropriate based upon those circumstances. What we have communicated in the past, as you’ll recall, is we had a restructuring charge a couple of years ago relating to some anticipated store closures. At that time, we communicated that we had expected about 40 to 50 store closures as part of that restructuring activity. This past year, in addition to those stores, we did an impairment of another grouping of stores, I would say of similar size. We haven’t gotten into disclosing the specifics of that pool of stores because for those stores we haven’t made a definitive decision with respect to closure or ongoing operations. They were impaired, we’re monitoring them closely. So you have those two pools of stores, so in the 80 to 100 range of stores. Both of those groupings of stores to date we’ve probably closed about 25 to 30 of that pool. And the vast majority of that 25 to 30 probably 20 or so were from that original grouping of stores that we committed to close. So the 40 to 50 that we committed to close we’ve closed about half of those stores. So there are some anticipated closures in the future that we’re evaluating and do expect over time.
Samantha Panella – Raymond James
OK. And then with respect to the 43 stores that you closed in 2010, can you give us any sort of color around how much these stores were underperforming in terms of either sales or from a margin point of view?
Sheamus Toal
They were obviously our least productive stores, or certainly at the lower range of productivity from a sales productivity standpoint. In many instances, they were stores that were losing money from a cash flow standpoint or an EBITDA perspective. Not dramatic amounts of money, so I wouldn’t say they were large loss stores. They were marginally unprofitable. In some cases, they were marginally profitable stores. They just did not meet our long term return assumptions, and in many instances would have required us to either move off of reduced rent through co-tenancy violations or things like that, or sign up for a new lease in which case the economics of the deal wouldn’t work for us. So they were certainly our least productive stores or our lower productivity stores. But not huge losses, marginal losses to marginally profitable on a four wall basis.
Samantha Panella – Raymond James
OK. And then switching gears to E-commerce. Can you give us any sense what the penetration now is in terms of total sales and how you see this business growing?
Greg Scott
So I would say as I said during the prepared remarks, we were pleased with our Q4 results. They had major swing from our Q3 results. We really feel we have traction in this business. I am fully committed to the growth of E-commerce. It is, I believe, under penetrated as a penetration to our business. And we believe as we’ve seen continuing in our business strong growth in the future here. You know we have a lot of what I would call ‘low hanging fruit’ here to really go. We have a lot of opportunity with more online exclusives to grow our cross-channel shopper, meaning people that shop in our stores, and online and on mobile. The launch of mobile. There’s technology enhancements along the site, and as we move forward even into virtual inventories in our stores there is so much growth opportunity for us. And what we are pleased to say is we’re already seeing those results. And when we are providing more fashion content and we’re providing more fashionable styles that speak to our brand platform of modern wear-to-work we’re seeing great results. And I will say that I feel fully committed to the growth of this business. Eran is doing a fabulous job managing this and we’re currently seeking to hire a V.P. to run this business. So very exciting, the E-commerce channel for the company.
Samantha Panella – Raymond James
Great. Thank you and best of luck.
Operator
Moving on, we have a question from Edward Yruma with KeyBanc Capital Markets.
Edward Yruma – KeyBanc Capital Markets
Hi, thanks for taking my question. Greg, you’ve done a number of key additions to your management team over the past couple of months. At this point, are you complete with your additions to your executive team, or do you still have some open slots?
Greg Scott
Right now, I’ve fully hired the executive team, and I feel very good about that. Eran, who joined us in October is already making great strides as you can see from the pant event and what he did across all channels. We’ll really see the benefit of Michele probably in our early fall assortment, and then David into holiday, and then the full team next spring. So I think we have a lot of opportunity in the future with the new people joining the team.
Edward Yruma – KeyBanc Capital Markets
Great. And I know you’ve indicated that you’re not going to open new stores really in 2011. Does that also include outlet?
Greg Scott
At this point, it does. As I said, one of our strategies this year is to really focus on our core business, really to focus on what I consider to be a great opportunity which is our core business to improve the productivity, to improve the sales, improve the margins. At the same time, we’re incubating our 25 store outlets that are doing better than expectations. As we plan this year as a cash preservation and accumulation, hopefully in the future we can open outlets. But this year, I will say today that we are focused on our main brand and really focusing on the opportunities there.
Edward Yruma – KeyBanc Capital Markets
Great. And one final question. Thank you for your commentary on your changes in your promotional structure. Are you changing the intensity of the promotions? Or are you changing the frequency?
Greg Scott
It’s really the intensity. What would say is as we look into Q1 last year, we had two major store-wide promotions and I’m only planning to anniversary one. That is reflected in our guidance. What I would say is that promotions have changed in terms of we now are speaking to product categories and then we support that fashion message, product category message, with a promotion. Last year was more about price points, and not necessarily fashion message. So for instance right now, in March week two we launched modern wear-to-work, we are your destination, and it ‘s really buy one, get one 50% off great jackets, vests, pants, tops and skirts to build your new modern wear-to-work. And it’s really tying in the fashion with the message of the promotion, which we are seeing good success with. But from of TY/LY perspective, this year is about rationalizing the promotional calendar, trying to do away with those major, intense, store-wide promotions that drive a very low AUR, low ADS as we try to grow our AUR and ADS. So March week one last year we had New York is on sale, we had a clearance event, we actually skipped it and we’re only having one clearance event in the quarter, instead of two like last year. Unfortunately, TY/LY is very hard to say, because I’ve pretty much split the promotional calendar on its head this year.
Edward Yruma – KeyBanc Capital Markets
Great. Thank you very much.
Operator
Moving on, we have a question from Eric Beder with Brean Murray.
Eric Beder – Brean Murray Carret & Co.
Good afternoon and congrats on a great quarter.
Greg Scott
Thanks, Eric.
Eric Beder – Brean Murray Carret & Co
You talked a lot about changing product. I’m curious, in your surveys and meeting with your customers, what you thought about changing in terms of the store presentation and in terms of the service in the store levels.
Greg Scott
Good question, Eric. What we really found from our customer was that our value customer today, that she was satisfied, or more than satisfied, with our service level. There was improvement that could be done on the in-store environment. That was very clear. As we look forward, what she really wanted was more fashion windows, more mannequins that told her what to wear and how to wear it. I hope [what] you’re seeing are windows and our in-store mannequins really speaking to a much more cohesive collection. It’s all about modern wear-to-work right now. It’s all about safari. We’re showing that in the window. That was what we were hearing that the customers wanted.
I was surprised to hear that she was very happy with the service level, meaning surprised that she doesn’t want, really, a lot of service. She just wants to make sure someone’s there to help her. She really responds to what the mannequins look like, and she wants those mannequins to reflect how she could look.
Eric Beder – Brean Murray Carret & Co
Great. In terms of your accessories business, what is working there? What do you want to do with the accessories?
Greg Scott
Eric, as I said in our remarks, our jewelry business continues to be star in show. It is just a phenomenal business for us and a high margin, high penetration. We’re very happy with it. We have, and as I said for Q4, our giftware, our winter wear sets were very good. In the future, I expect to see a rebranding and a refocus on our shoes and handbag assortment. I will say that will probably be a 2012, mid-2012 initiative, not a 2011 initiative.
We are very happy with our jewelry business. And our auxiliary, our scarf business is good, our belt business is good, but really that meat-and-potatoes bag and shoe business has a lot of opportunity. But, I’m really looking at and pacing that as a 2012 opportunity.
Eric Beder – Brean Murray Carret & Co
Great. Thank you.
Greg Scott
Thank you.
Operator
Moving on, we’ll hear from Janet Kloppenburg with JJK Research.
Janet Kloppenburg – JJK Research
Hi everybody.
Greg Scott
Hello, Janet.
Janet Kloppenburg – JJK Research
Hi. Sheamus, I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the leverage ability of SG&A. I know on buying and occupancy, you need a flat to minus low-single digit comp to leverage. What would it be on the expense line?
Sheamus Toal
Yes, for SG&A, our traditional leverage point is in the low- to mid-single digit comps. We have been successful in recent times in reducing that. Obviously, in the fourth quarter it was improved versus that based upon some of our cost reductions.
As we move into the new year, we’re going to start to shift back closer to our traditional leverage point. I would say it’s a little bit improved with some of the cost reductions that we’re putting in place, so in the low single-digit positive range from a leverage standpoint for SG&A in the short term, and then as we go longer term out it’ll start to move towards our traditional low to mid single-digit range.
Janet Kloppenburg – JJK Research
OK. And then, Greg, it seems like the inventory levels and maybe the reduction in promos are going to constrain comps for a while but help improve the margins. Is that the strategy?
Greg Scott
Yes. And as you can see, I think we’re happy to say, what I think is a great thing in retail, sales are up, inventory is down. As we’re guiding low single-digit comps for the quarter, our inventory opened down. Our inventory at the end of the quarter is down. What I’m focused on is turning inventory to retail better so that I have improved margin. If you’re calling that, that is the short term, really, strategy for 2011. Really, to rationalize the promotional calendar, become more profitable, get the merchandise margin up. At the same time try to get those modest same store comps.
Janet Kloppenburg – JJK Research
And so, what will be the catalyst to start investing in a higher inventory level?
Greg Scott
I would say continuing to have the product acceptance that we’re seeing today, making sure that we have the customer right, making sure I’ve got a good couple quarters under my belt, and I’m satisfied with how she’s liking it. We changed the assortment pretty dramatically for spring, and she’s responding favorably. I want to make sure we continue to see that. I want to make sure that we have her, that we’re consistent in it.
The good thing in this business which I’m happy to say we have some core businesses, like pants, like jewelry, that are very consistent businesses, that kind of are those block and tackle businesses that are very consistent, not a lot of magic there but that are good meat-and-potatoes, just that tops business and that dress business that I want to make sure that we’ve got. We’re seeing some good response now. I just want to make sure we’re on the right track there and, obviously, I have a whole new creative team both for merchandising, marketing, design. I want to make sure they’ve all got some time under their belt so that the team collectively, we’re unified.
I hope that’s explaining it enough.
Janet Kloppenburg – JJK Research
Yeah, that’s great. And the marketing budget, how is that versus last year right now?
Sheamus Toal
I’m afraid now our marketing budget is down a little bit versus last year as I mentioned in some of my commentary. We have shifted some dollars of our marketing to be a little bit more cost effective, shifting dollars away from direct mail which is a little bit expensive for us and moving into more e-mails, which allows us to reduce the expense slightly while maintaining the same level of sales and responsiveness from our customers. It is down slightly right now, and we’re continuing to monitor that going forward.
Greg Scott
And we’re also being more focused on our in-store marketing, meaning not having as many contingencies so that we’re able to really use those expenses wisely. We’re spending more on our windows because I think that is really critical so that we have a stronger method, a stronger fashion method, a stronger ‘who we are’ method, and spending less on the sale marketing inside the stores as we did last year.
Janet Kloppenburg – JJK Research
OK, great. My last question is I think you have a strategy in place to, the store based towards the value center stores, or to try and have a larger percentage of stores in these strip centers as opposed to the costly malls. I’m wondering what we should expect this year on that front?
Greg Scott
Just to clarify that, I probably wouldn’t use the word strip center, I would probably use off mall location because for us, it’s whether it’s a lifestyle center which is less costly than a traditional mall, but it still has a branded experience to it. Or power center. We are in some strip centers, but that’s not necessarily the strategy. And obviously, when we speak off mall, to think about outlet. We see over time us losing more and more there. As you can see, we’re not spending a lot on these stores this year, so it’s really going to be over time as we move there. What we have found, though, is these off mall locations, lifestyle, power centers, tend to be not from sheer sales but a total operating (inaudible), more productive, because we’ll able to maintain a decent amount of sales, but much lower rent and good productivity.
Janet Kloppenburg – JJK Research
OK, great. The stores look a lot better. Good luck.
Greg Scott
Thank you.
Operator
Moving on, we’ll hear from Robin Murchison with SunTrust Robinson Humphrey.
Robin Murchison – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Thanks very much. Congratulations everyone. I’ve got about four questions here. One, I wanted to check in with you in terms of is anything changing with your lead times, and if you could just refresh us on that. Two, are you expanding wear-to-work? Three, can you update us on any systems initiatives? And lastly, regarding your pants. You’ve got the 7th Avenue collection, you’ve got the Hudson pant collection, and they come in a variety of leg openings, and I just wondered if you could comment on, if there is something to comment on, which pant opening is working really well right now, or are they just all kind of working? Is there a dominant silhouette? Thanks.
Greg Scott
OK, so we’ll start with lead times. We have not seen a change in our lead times with anything. I’m pushing for a little faster turn time, just wanting to get closer. However, I would say that I’m willing to take a little longer time on some of our core basics such as pants, because we have a good history. We tested them. We’ve already tested our fall pant. The fabrics aren’t changing. We have the ability to go out a little longer on that which helps us from a price perspective, because we can go into countries such as Bahrain that really improves our cost of these pants. So I would say overall, there’s not really any change in lead times. I would say if anything we’re shortening it a little. But I would say in terms of basics some of those core businesses we are going a little further out because we can.
I would just say this about Wear-to-Work. Wear-to-Work is a brand platform for us, meaning how I want to speak out to the customer today. It’s New York and Company. It’s Wear-to-Work. It’s about great Wear-to-Work fashion. It’s about great pants that you can go to work and beyond in. And that it’s not that we will not have casual in our store, but we have to stand for something. And what we’ve heard loud and clear is that she wanted to hear about work. And I’m happy to say that this is the first time, March week two, that we’ve actually used the word ‘work’ in anything almost for five years outside to the customer. A very long time, and she is responding very well to that. As I say, I’d like to position us today as that great Wear-to-Work destination for that woman who wants to look good, feel great, at a great price and a great value. And I want her to go away feeling like she looks amazing but she can’t believe what she paid for it.
I would say in terms of the pants today in proportion we have the 7th Avenue flare and we have the 7th Avenue boot cut as the two major pants in our spring Wear-to-Work assortment. I would say both are good. You know what? The boot cut is always good. The flare was a fashion message. It is not an exaggerated flare by any means. It is a normal flare and that has been good also. Both pants in 7th Avenue have been very good. We also did in our pant event five, maybe four I might have the number wrong, four or five different silhouettes. A lot were black only, a lot were average only to really get a read. And we found some very interesting styles that we’re going to introduce in a major way, a bigger way, for fall. And we’re excited about that. And I think I’m going to let Sheamus talk about the last question about IT initiatives.
Sheamus Toal
Sure. So from an IT standpoint, fortunately we’ve made our biggest investments in IT over the last few years. So we don’t have huge system initiatives that are coming up. We’ve invested in our planning systems in past years. Our POS systems are all fairly new. So there aren’t huge investments to come. I would say for this year we’re anticipating our IT capital to be roughly comparable to last year. The big projects that we will continue to invest in from an IT standpoint is obviously our E-commerce business as we continue to enhance our E-commerce site. We’re investing in mobile obviously to make enhancements to our mobile site. And as Greg mentioned earlier that’s scheduled to launch in the second quarter. We’ve launched recently and are evaluating the performance of what we call ‘Ask Us’ which is a direct to consumer shipment of lost sales in the store, or items that aren’t in stock or not in the correct size. So we do plan on making some additional investments in those areas. So primarily in the direct to consumer areas, and then there’s always some level of maintenance capital for our home office systems and various servers as they come due. But fortunately as I said, we’ve made all of our significant investments in past years.
Greg Scott
And I think to tag on to that direct to consumer, it’s also about really maximizing the inventories. That is really the most exciting thing I’ve seen right now in terms of moving on to the one day, the virtual inventory. That no matter where she shops we’ll be able to ship it from where we have it, the best optimization for our productivity. We’re starting to look at that. We’re starting to see what that looks like because as we already have what we call “ask us” which is a kind of save the sale program. We really want to get to a place where if she orders online we can ship to our store for her to pick it up. At the same time we want to be able to get to a place where when she orders it online then online’s out we can ship it from a store. And we’re very excited about that future opportunity and we really have our IT and E-commercing focused on that today.
Robin Murchison – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Thanks guys.
Operator
Moving on, we will hear from Christine Chen with Needham & Company.
Christine Chen – Needham & Company
Congratulations on a good quarter. Can you hear me OK?
Greg Scott
We can. Hello Christine.
Christine Chen – Needham & Company
Hello. So you’ve mentioned that you’re increasing the fashion part of the assortment and we’ve certainly noticed that in the stores. I’m wondering the percentages of the now fashion versus maybe a more basic and where would you like it to be by the end of the year? And then wondering do you test on the E-com site and does your customer base that shops on the Internet is she different from a shopping pattern perspective and a demographic perspective? Thanks.
Greg Scott
OK. So fashion versus basic. I think one of the things that we’re excited about is that the customer today, early spring I’m just reporting on right now, is really responding to the fashion less the basics. However, when I say that, you have to look at it by categories. So in the top category, the basics right now are a very small part of our business. It’s not what’s really working. What’s working is anything that’s novelty. Reverse of that? Pant business. What we would consider basic is doing much better than the novelty business. So it’s kind of like I have to look at both parts of the business. So as we look at it it could be a 50-50 mix. But I don’t think I have an exact percentage for you. I would say in the top dress category right now today she’s very interested in fashion, novelty, different, unique. It’s what’s she’s willing to pay for. In the bottom category she’s liking some of those what we consider core basics in our assortment, 7th Avenue pant, the Empire flare pant. These are the things that she comes to us day in and day out for that she actually likes these better than the fashion pieces of that assortment. So I guess that’s a good thing. It gives us a basic part of our assortment.
And then you had one other question. I would say E-com is slightly a different customer. I would say that overall the trends are the same. We don’t get necessarily reads that will work for the store on E-com. Obviously it gives us indication as we’ve done exclusives, we have unique things, and when something’s working on E-com and we think it’s viable, like for instance novelty dresses, going out dresses worked very well on E-com for holiday last year. We’ve never had them in our store ever, well maybe we have in the past, never say never, but we didn’t have them in our stores the last couple of years. We will now bring them to some stores for holiday based on E-commerce’s success. I would say just overall testing though, we continue to have a rigorous testing process throughout our assortment, whether it’s assortment testing or style testing which has actually been very predictive for our holiday and early spring results so we’re continuing to do that because as of today those results have been very good indicators of what’s she’s going to like.
Christine Chen – Needham & Company
Great. Thank you. Good luck. The stores look a lot better.
Greg Scott
Thank you.
Operator
I’d like to turn the conference back over to management for any additional or closing remarks.
Greg Scott
Thanks again for joining us. We look forward to speaking to everyone when we report first quarter results in May. Thank you.
Operator
All right. We thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today’s conference.
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